Bull against bear

Financial markets, macro economics, politics and everything else concerning the global markets. The writer is a long time investment banking operative in the nordic markets. The blog is usually updated once a week with specific trading advice. On a monthly basis, the goal is to provide a strategy update. In addition to that, there will be posts of more general content, housing bubbles, investment strategies and more.

November 28, 2012

Weekly update 11/28

Looking to increase longs in to this weakness but it is not without hedging. There are many weak equity names out there and looking at the bigger macro picture, there are industrial metals and energy that are relatively weak and continue to be good hedges (something I have stressed for some months now) against equity longs. Precious metals continue to be good longs as well.

This could be the last upmove in equities before we get a bigger correction going (both in time and space). Emerging markets are horribly weak and also some developed markets like export oriented Sweden which also has not had its housing market crash yet (but it will), compared with for example the S&P. So there are many ways to setup long/short portfolios in this environment.

In many markets it is obvious that central bank actions are boosting financials relative to industrial. This I take as a sign as the final push higher, when fundamentals (layoffs) catch up, it will hurt everyone. But it is more - both in fundamental analys and technical analysis - a projection about generally "dead" markets than something that will crash like post 2000 and 2008.






 

No comments: